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Nate Silver : ウィキペディア英語版
Nate Silver

Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics) and elections (see psephology). He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's ''FiveThirtyEight'' blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA,〔Alan Schwarz, "Numbers Suggest Mets Are Gambling on Zambrano", (''The New York Times'', August 22, 2004 ); Alan Schwarz, "Predicting Futures in Baseball, and the Downside of Damon", (''The New York Times'', November 13, 2005 ); Childs Walker, "Baseball Prospectus Makes Predicting Future Thing of Past," ''Baltimore Sun'', February 21, 2006; Rich Lederer, "An Unfiltered Interview with Nate Silver", (''Baseball Analysts'', February 12, 2007 ); Tim Murphy, "Timeout with Nate Silver: BP's VP illuminates the sport's fuzzy numbers", (''Chicago Maroon'', May 11, 2007 ); Steven D. Levitt, "Freakonomics: More on Roger Clemens", (''The New York Times'', February 18, 2008 ); and Michael Miner, "The Algorithm Method: Hot Type's coveted Golden BAT award goes to a computer program", (''Chicago Reader'', March 27, 2008 ).〕 a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.〔Nate Silver and Kevin Goldstein, "State of the Prospectus: Spring 2009," (''BaseballProspectus.com,'' March 24, 2009 ).〕
After Silver successfully called the outcomes in 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 U.S. Presidential election, in 2009 Silver was named one of The World's 100 Most Influential People by ''Time''.
In 2010, the ''FiveThirtyEight'' blog was licensed for publication by ''The New York Times''.〔Nate Silver, "FiveThirtyEight to Partner with New York Times," (FiveThirtyEight.com, June 3, 2010 ).〕〔Brian Stelter, "Times to Host Blog on Politics and Polls," (''The New York Times,'' June 3, 2010 ).〕 In 2012 and 2013, ''FiveThirtyEight'' won Webby Awards as the "Best Political Blog" from the International Academy of Digital Arts and Sciences.
In the 2012 United States presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, Silver correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
In July 2013, ''FiveThirtyEight'' was sold to ESPN, and Silver became its Editor in Chief.〔Brian Stelter, "Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight Blog Is to Join ESPN Staff," ''The New York Times'', (July 19, 2013 ).〕 The ESPN-owned ''FiveThirtyEight'' launched on March 17, 2014. The site focused on a broad range of subjects under the rubric of "data journalism".〔Nate Silver, "What the Fox Knows," ''FiveThirtyEight,'' (March 17, 2014 ).〕
Silver's book, ''The Signal and the Noise'', was published in September 2012. It subsequently reached ''The New York Times'' best seller list for nonfiction, and was named by Amazon.com as the #1 best nonfiction book of 2012. ''The Signal and the Noise'' won the 2013 Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science. The book has been published in nine foreign languages: Chinese (separate editions in traditional and simplified characters), Czech, German, Italian, Polish, Portuguese, Spanish, and Romanian.
Having earned a bachelor's degree from The University of Chicago in 2000, Silver has since been awarded four honorary doctoral degrees: from Ripon College (2013), The New School (2013), The University of Leuven (2013), and Amherst College (2014).
==Early life==
Silver was born in East Lansing, Michigan, the son of Sally (née Thrun), a community activist, and Brian David Silver, a former chair of the political science department at Michigan State University. Silver's mother's family, of English and German descent, includes several distinguished men and women, including his maternal great-grandfather, Harmon Lewis, who was president of the Alcoa Steamship Company, Inc. Silver has been known to describe himself as "half-Jewish" (Silver's father is Jewish).〔
Silver showed a proficiency in math from a young age.〔Stephanie Clifford, "Finding Fame With a Prescient Call for Obama," (''The New York Times,'' November 9, 2008 ).〕 According to journalist William Hageman, "Silver caught the baseball bug when he was 6.... It was 1984, the year the Detroit Tigers won the World Series. The Tigers became his team and baseball his sport. And if there's anything that goes hand in glove with baseball, it's numbers, another of Silver's childhood interests ("It's always more interesting to apply it to batting averages than algebra class").〔William Hageman, "Baseball by the Numbers," ''Chicago Tribune'' (January 4, 2006).〕
As a student at East Lansing High School, in 1996 Silver won first place in the State of Michigan in the 49th annual John S. Knight Scholarship Contest for senior high school debaters.〔"East Lansing Debater Wins Scholarship," ''Detroit Free Press'' (February 29, 1996). Also see Patricia Montemurri, "Michigan native Nate Silver shows election predictions aren't magic but math," (''Detroit Free Press'', November 11, 2012 ).〕
Silver first showed his journalism skills as a writer and opinion page editor for ''The Portrait'', East Lansing High School's student newspaper, from 1993–1996.〔(Link to 1996 high school yearbook photo ) with brief resume showing status as writer for ''The Portrait'' for three years and editor for two years. (November 8, 2012 )〕
In 2000, Silver graduated with Honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of Chicago. He also wrote for the ''Chicago Weekly News'' and the ''Chicago Maroon''. He spent his third year at the London School of Economics.〔Nate Silver, "Random, Pretentious Observations from Europe," (''FiveThirtyEight.com,'' May 25, 2009 ).〕

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